Value Drift

Type: Systems & Dynamics
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Definition

Changing what we value over time, often without noticing. The person you become may not want what the person you are wants.

Derek Parfit’s insight: Your future self is like a different person. Should you prioritize their wants over your own? But you ARE them.


Why It Matters

Long-term planning: Locking in decisions for “future you” is risky. Career: 20-year-old’s career plan may not suit 40-year-old. Relationships: “We’ll be together forever” — people change. Ethics: What if we could edit values? Should we?


Types of Drift

TypeDescriptionExample
NaturalNormal maturationYouthful idealism → pragmatic moderation
EnvironmentalContext changes valuesPoverty → wealth changes priorities
SocialPeer influenceAdopting group’s values
InstrumentalMeans become endsMoney for security → money for status

The Paradox

Ulysses contracts: Binding future you to current you’s values. But:

  • Future you might be right
  • Current you might be wrong
  • Who has authority?

Fighting Negative Drift

  1. Regular review — Revisit values periodically
  2. Keep anchors — Reminders of what mattered
  3. Diverse inputs — Avoid echo chambers
  4. Accept some drift — Growth requires change

  • [[Projection Bias** — Assuming future self wants what current self wants
  • [[End-of-History Illusion** — Thinking we’ve finished changing
  • [[Status Quo Bias** — Preferring current values

Audio

Podcast episode: Value Drift


Part of the Cognitive Bias Reference